Food allergy, dermatologic diseases, and anaphylaxisShould β-blockers be given to patients with heart disease and peanut-induced anaphylaxis? A decision analysis☆
Section snippets
Methods
We used a computer simulation model to capture the risks of death from heart disease and from anaphylaxis for a population of patients with heart disease and peanut allergy. In this Markov model, cohorts of 10,000 identical adults with peanut allergy and heart disease were assigned to 1 of 2 strategies: (1) β-blocker therapy or (2) no β-blocker. To capture prognostic uncertainty, patients might move among predefined states of health over time. Each month, patients might remain in a particular
Postmyocardial infarction model
Under the baseline assumptions, patients treated with β-blockers had a higher lifetime risk for anaphylaxis mortality but a much lower lifetime risk of cardiac mortality. As a result, the average life expectancy for 58-year-old patients allergic to peanut post-MI was about 9.4 months longer with β-blocker therapy than without β-blocker (Table II). This is about 60% of the benefit of β-blocker therapy seen in the model when risk of anaphylaxis was removed.
Congestive heart failure model
Both baseline annual mortality and
Discussion
Our analysis suggests that patients with heart disease and peanut allergy, who may be at increased risk for anaphylaxis mortality with β-blocker therapy, should benefit from β-blocker therapy because of reduced heart disease mortality. The average life expectancy gains range from 9.4 to ∼17 months, with greater benefits for patients with CHF. For comparison, 35-year-old cigarette smokers who stops smoking increase their life expectancy by 8 to 10 months, and prophylaxis against Pneumocystis
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The authors report no conflicts of interest, but for full disclosure, Dr Wong was a coinvestigator in the Patient Outcome Research Team grant for Ischemic Heart Disease from the then Agency for Health Care Policy and Research from 1990 to 1995 and is currently the content editor for Coronary Artery Disease for the nonprofit Foundation for Informed Medical Decision Making. In both of these cases, he has complete independence from the funding source in study design, interpretation of data, report writing, and publication regardless of results.